Brazil vs Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.9%
Win probability
3.18
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.6%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.1%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
12.5%
9.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1949 |
BRA
10 - 1
BOL
86%
9%
5%
|
82 | 56 | 26 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1949 |
BRA
9 - 1
ECU
87%
8%
5%
|
82 | 52 | 30 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1948 |
URU
4 - 2
BRA
47%
22%
32%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1948 |
URU
1 - 1
BRA
47%
21%
32%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1947 |
BRA
3 - 2
URU
64%
17%
19%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1949 |
BOL
3 - 2
CHI
36%
22%
42%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1947 |
CHI
4 - 3
BOL
78%
13%
10%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1947 |
CHI
4 - 1
COL
59%
19%
22%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 1947 |
PAR
1 - 0
CHI
59%
19%
22%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1947 |
ARG
1 - 1
CHI
79%
13%
8%
|
69 | 89 | 20 | 0 |