Brazil vs Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.8%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.5%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
12%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1917 |
URU
4 - 0
BRA
53%
22%
25%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1917 |
ARG
4 - 2
BRA
58%
21%
21%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 1916 |
URU
0 - 1
BRA
59%
20%
21%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 1916 |
ARG
1 - 1
BRA
55%
22%
23%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 1916 |
CHI
1 - 1
BRA
42%
24%
34%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1917 |
ARG
1 - 0
CHI
72%
17%
11%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1917 |
URU
4 - 0
CHI
66%
18%
16%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 1916 |
URU
4 - 1
CHI
72%
16%
12%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 1916 |
ARG
1 - 0
CHI
68%
18%
14%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 1916 |
CHI
1 - 1
BRA
42%
24%
34%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |