Brazil vs Bulgaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.9%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.8%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
17.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.6%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.3%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15.4%
5.7%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 1976 |
BRA
2 - 0
SUN
69%
21%
11%
|
93 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 1976 |
SUN
2 - 0
BRA
44%
24%
32%
|
93 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 1976 |
POL
2 - 0
BRA
43%
24%
33%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 1976 |
BRA
4 - 1
ISR
80%
12%
8%
|
93 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 1976 |
BRA
2 - 1
ESP
82%
12%
7%
|
93 | 68 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 1977 |
ALG
1 - 1
BGR
26%
23%
51%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1976 |
ROU
3 - 2
BGR
59%
23%
18%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 1976 |
BGR
0 - 4
BMU
87%
9%
4%
|
82 | 43 | 39 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1976 |
BGR
0 - 4
DDR
40%
27%
34%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1976 |
BGR
2 - 2
FRA
56%
24%
20%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |