Brazil vs Bulgaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.4%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.7%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
12%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
12%
5.6%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1970 |
BRA
0 - 0
PAR
84%
11%
5%
|
91 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1970 |
BRA
2 - 1
CHI
84%
11%
5%
|
91 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1970 |
BRA
5 - 0
CHI
83%
12%
6%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1970 |
BRA
2 - 1
ARG
73%
17%
11%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1970 |
BRA
0 - 2
ARG
75%
15%
9%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1970 |
FRA
1 - 1
BGR
55%
23%
23%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1970 |
PER
5 - 3
BGR
52%
24%
25%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 1970 |
PER
1 - 3
BGR
52%
24%
24%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 1970 |
MEX
2 - 0
BGR
58%
23%
19%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 1970 |
MEX
1 - 1
BGR
58%
23%
19%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |