Brazil vs Bulgaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.2%
Win probability
3.14
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.9%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.7%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.2%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.5%
10.3%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.3%
5.4%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 1958 |
BRA
4 - 0
BGR
84%
11%
6%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1958 |
BRA
0 - 0
PAR
83%
11%
6%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1958 |
BRA
5 - 1
PAR
82%
12%
7%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1957 |
CHI
1 - 1
BRA
27%
22%
51%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1957 |
CHI
1 - 0
BRA
26%
22%
53%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 1958 |
BRA
4 - 0
BGR
84%
11%
6%
|
69 | 87 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1957 |
FRA
2 - 2
BGR
74%
15%
12%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1957 |
BGR
7 - 0
NOR
58%
20%
22%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 1957 |
BGR
1 - 1
POL
65%
18%
17%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1957 |
BGR
1 - 2
HUN
10%
15%
75%
|
68 | 91 | 23 | 0 |