Brazil vs Bolivia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.8%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.2%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.9%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.6%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.9%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
10.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.8%
4.4%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2004 |
HTI
0 - 6
BRA
11%
22%
67%
|
99 | 75 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2004 |
ARG
2 - 2
BRA
34%
24%
42%
|
99 | 98 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2004 |
BRA
1 - 1
URU
87%
9%
4%
|
99 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2004 |
MEX
0 - 4
BRA
11%
17%
72%
|
99 | 92 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2004 |
BRA
1 - 2
PAR
89%
8%
3%
|
99 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Bolivia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2004 |
VEN
1 - 1
BOL
37%
24%
39%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2004 |
COL
1 - 0
BOL
73%
17%
10%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2004 |
PER
2 - 2
BOL
58%
21%
21%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2004 |
ECU
3 - 2
BOL
59%
23%
18%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2004 |
BOL
2 - 1
PAR
31%
28%
41%
|
82 | 91 | 9 | +1 |