Brazil vs Bolivia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.9%
Win probability
3.24
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.8%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.1%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.3%
3-0
10%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.1%
10.3%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10.3%
5.8%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 1979 |
BRA
2 - 1
ARG
71%
17%
13%
|
94 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 1979 |
BOL
2 - 1
BRA
27%
26%
47%
|
94 | 68 | 26 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1979 |
BRA
5 - 1
URU
83%
14%
4%
|
94 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1979 |
BRA
6 - 0
PAR
82%
14%
4%
|
94 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 1978 |
BRA
2 - 1
ITA
65%
19%
16%
|
94 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Bolivia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 1979 |
ARG
3 - 0
BOL
82%
11%
7%
|
69 | 90 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 1979 |
PAR
2 - 0
BOL
59%
22%
20%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 1979 |
BOL
2 - 1
BRA
27%
26%
47%
|
68 | 94 | 26 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 1979 |
BOL
2 - 1
ARG
32%
27%
42%
|
66 | 91 | 25 | +2 |
| 12 Jul. 1979 |
BOL
1 - 1
PAR
31%
23%
46%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |