Brazil vs Bolivia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.3%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.2%
+6
1.8%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
10.2%
3-0
15.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.2%
+3
18%
2-0
19.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.5%
1-0
16.5%
2-1
6%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
<0%
+1
23.3%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
0.9%
3-3
0.1%
0
13.2%
3.6%
Win probability
0.31
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.1%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 1977 |
BRA
1 - 0
PER
81%
14%
5%
|
93 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 1977 |
BRA
2 - 2
FRA
77%
17%
7%
|
93 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 1977 |
BRA
0 - 0
YUG
71%
19%
10%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 1977 |
BRA
2 - 0
SCO
70%
20%
10%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1977 |
BRA
3 - 1
POL
70%
20%
11%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Bolivia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 1977 |
BOL
1 - 2
POL
18%
22%
60%
|
66 | 87 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1977 |
URU
2 - 2
BOL
68%
19%
13%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1977 |
BOL
2 - 0
VEN
61%
19%
20%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 1977 |
VEN
1 - 3
BOL
58%
20%
22%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 1977 |
BOL
1 - 0
URU
30%
24%
46%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | +1 |