Brazil vs Bolivia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86%
Win probability
3.59
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.6%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.3%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
3%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.5%
4-0
8%
5-1
5%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.5%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
7%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.1%
8.8%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
8.8%
5.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1949 |
BRA
9 - 1
ECU
87%
8%
5%
|
82 | 52 | 30 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1948 |
URU
4 - 2
BRA
47%
22%
32%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1948 |
URU
1 - 1
BRA
47%
21%
32%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1947 |
BRA
3 - 2
URU
64%
17%
19%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1947 |
BRA
0 - 0
URU
63%
17%
20%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Bolivia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1949 |
BOL
3 - 2
CHI
36%
22%
42%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1948 |
BOL
2 - 2
VEN
42%
23%
36%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1947 |
CHI
4 - 3
BOL
78%
13%
10%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1947 |
BOL
0 - 2
PER
32%
22%
45%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 1947 |
PAR
3 - 1
BOL
74%
15%
11%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |