Brazil vs Bolivia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.5%
Win probability
3.3
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.8%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.8%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17%
10.7%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.7%
6.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 1946 |
URU
1 - 1
BRA
48%
21%
31%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1946 |
URU
4 - 3
BRA
47%
22%
32%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 1945 |
BRA
3 - 1
ARG
46%
22%
33%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 1945 |
BRA
6 - 2
ARG
43%
22%
35%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 1945 |
BRA
3 - 4
ARG
43%
22%
34%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Bolivia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1945 |
BOL
3 - 3
COL
45%
22%
33%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1945 |
URU
2 - 0
BOL
74%
15%
11%
|
61 | 80 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1945 |
BOL
0 - 0
ECU
67%
17%
16%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 1945 |
BRA
2 - 0
BOL
79%
12%
9%
|
62 | 80 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1945 |
CHI
5 - 0
BOL
60%
19%
21%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -2 |