Brazil vs Belgium analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.1%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
14.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2018 |
BRA
2 - 0
MEX
70%
18%
12%
|
97 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2018 |
SRB
0 - 2
BRA
8%
16%
76%
|
97 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2018 |
BRA
2 - 0
CRC
80%
14%
6%
|
97 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2018 |
BRA
1 - 1
SUI
75%
16%
9%
|
97 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2018 |
AUT
0 - 3
BRA
9%
18%
73%
|
97 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2018 |
BEL
3 - 2
JPN
70%
18%
13%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2018 |
ENG
0 - 1
BEL
47%
24%
29%
|
91 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2018 |
BEL
5 - 2
TUN
80%
13%
7%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2018 |
BEL
3 - 0
PAN
79%
14%
8%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2018 |
BEL
4 - 1
CRC
72%
17%
11%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |