Brazil vs Belgium analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.2%
Win probability
3.17
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.8%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.6%
4-0
8%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13%
3-0
10%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.5%
10.7%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10.7%
6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1964 |
CSK
1 - 0
BRA
60%
19%
22%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1964 |
BRA
4 - 0
KOR
88%
8%
4%
|
89 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1964 |
BRA
1 - 1
EGY
87%
8%
5%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1964 |
BRA
4 - 1
POR
87%
9%
4%
|
89 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1964 |
BRA
0 - 3
ARG
65%
18%
17%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1965 |
BEL
1 - 0
ISR
66%
18%
16%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1965 |
BEL
0 - 0
POL
62%
19%
19%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1965 |
IRL
0 - 2
BEL
55%
21%
24%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 1964 |
BEL
3 - 0
FRA
56%
21%
23%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 1964 |
ENG
2 - 2
BEL
87%
8%
5%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |