Brazil vs Argentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
24.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2007 |
URU
2 - 2
BRA
8%
15%
77%
|
99 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2007 |
CHI
1 - 6
BRA
6%
13%
80%
|
99 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2007 |
BRA
1 - 0
ECU
93%
6%
1%
|
98 | 88 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2007 |
BRA
3 - 0
CHI
90%
8%
2%
|
98 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2007 |
BRA
0 - 2
MEX
83%
11%
5%
|
99 | 93 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2007 |
MEX
0 - 3
ARG
20%
21%
59%
|
98 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2007 |
ARG
4 - 0
PER
88%
10%
2%
|
97 | 86 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2007 |
ARG
1 - 0
PAR
78%
15%
7%
|
97 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2007 |
ARG
4 - 2
COL
77%
16%
7%
|
97 | 92 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2007 |
ARG
4 - 1
USA
66%
20%
14%
|
97 | 93 | 4 | 0 |