Brazil vs Argentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.8%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
11.7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2000 |
PAR
2 - 1
BRA
13%
21%
66%
|
100 | 89 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2000 |
BRA
1 - 1
URU
85%
11%
4%
|
100 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2000 |
PER
0 - 1
BRA
10%
20%
70%
|
100 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2000 |
ENG
1 - 1
BRA
27%
26%
47%
|
100 | 98 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2000 |
WAL
0 - 3
BRA
9%
19%
72%
|
100 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2000 |
ARG
2 - 0
ECU
75%
17%
7%
|
97 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2000 |
COL
1 - 3
ARG
24%
27%
49%
|
97 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2000 |
ARG
1 - 0
BOL
78%
16%
6%
|
96 | 84 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2000 |
VEN
0 - 4
ARG
13%
23%
65%
|
96 | 65 | 31 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2000 |
ARG
4 - 1
CHI
67%
21%
12%
|
96 | 89 | 7 | 0 |