Brazil vs Argentina analysis

Brazil Argentina
95 ELO 92
5% Tilt 7.6%
General ELO ranking 11º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
65.7%
Brazil
20.2%
Draw
14.2%
Argentina

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
Brazil
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
14.2%
Win probability
Argentina
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Brazil
-9%
+5%
Argentina

ELO progression

Brazil
Argentina
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Brazil
Brazil
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Jun. 1993
BRA
Brazil
3 - 0
Paraguay
PAR
78%
15%
7%
95 86 9 0
21 Jun. 1993
BRA
Brazil
2 - 3
Chile
CHI
78%
15%
7%
96 87 9 -1
18 Jun. 1993
BRA
Brazil
0 - 0
Peru
PER
84%
12%
4%
96 77 19 0
13 Jun. 1993
BRA
Brazil
1 - 1
England
ENG
60%
23%
17%
96 94 2 0
10 Jun. 1993
GER
Germany
3 - 3
Brazil
BRA
19%
23%
58%
96 87 9 0

Matches

Argentina
Argentina
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Jun. 1993
ARG
Argentina
1 - 1
Colombia
COL
70%
20%
10%
92 85 7 0
20 Jun. 1993
ARG
Argentina
1 - 1
Mexico
MEX
60%
24%
16%
92 89 3 0
17 Jun. 1993
ARG
Argentina
1 - 0
Bolivia
BOL
75%
17%
8%
92 70 22 0
24 Feb. 1993
ARG
Argentina
1 - 1
Denmark
DEN
61%
24%
16%
92 89 3 0
18 Feb. 1993
ARG
Argentina
1 - 1
Brazil
BRA
34%
29%
37%
92 96 4 0
X