Brazil vs Argentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.1%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
12.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1983 |
BRA
5 - 0
ECU
85%
11%
4%
|
95 | 63 | 32 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1983 |
ARG
1 - 0
BRA
36%
28%
36%
|
96 | 91 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 1983 |
ECU
0 - 1
BRA
19%
27%
54%
|
96 | 63 | 33 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 1983 |
CHI
0 - 0
BRA
15%
24%
62%
|
96 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1983 |
SWE
3 - 3
BRA
17%
25%
57%
|
96 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1983 |
ARG
2 - 2
ECU
78%
15%
7%
|
91 | 63 | 28 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1983 |
ARG
1 - 0
BRA
36%
28%
36%
|
91 | 96 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1983 |
ECU
2 - 2
ARG
24%
28%
48%
|
91 | 63 | 28 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 1983 |
ARG
0 - 0
PAR
77%
16%
7%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 1983 |
PAR
1 - 0
ARG
20%
26%
54%
|
91 | 79 | 12 | 0 |