Brazil vs Argentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
10.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1970 |
BRA
0 - 2
ARG
75%
15%
9%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1969 |
BRA
1 - 0
PAR
84%
11%
6%
|
91 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1969 |
BRA
6 - 0
VEN
86%
10%
4%
|
91 | 65 | 26 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1969 |
BRA
6 - 2
COL
87%
9%
4%
|
91 | 59 | 32 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1969 |
PAR
0 - 3
BRA
23%
25%
52%
|
91 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1970 |
BRA
0 - 2
ARG
75%
15%
9%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1969 |
ARG
2 - 2
PER
68%
19%
13%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1969 |
ARG
1 - 0
BOL
73%
17%
10%
|
87 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 1969 |
PER
1 - 0
ARG
39%
26%
35%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 1969 |
BOL
3 - 1
ARG
29%
25%
46%
|
87 | 65 | 22 | 0 |