Brazil vs Argentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.4%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.4%
9.2%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1969 |
BRA
1 - 0
PAR
84%
11%
6%
|
91 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1969 |
BRA
6 - 0
VEN
86%
10%
4%
|
91 | 65 | 26 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1969 |
BRA
6 - 2
COL
87%
9%
4%
|
91 | 59 | 32 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1969 |
PAR
0 - 3
BRA
23%
25%
52%
|
91 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1969 |
VEN
0 - 5
BRA
19%
22%
59%
|
91 | 65 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1969 |
ARG
2 - 2
PER
68%
19%
13%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1969 |
ARG
1 - 0
BOL
73%
17%
10%
|
87 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 1969 |
PER
1 - 0
ARG
39%
26%
35%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 1969 |
BOL
3 - 1
ARG
29%
25%
46%
|
87 | 65 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1969 |
ARG
2 - 1
CHI
67%
20%
14%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |