Brazil vs Argentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
13.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 1968 |
PAR
1 - 0
BRA
23%
24%
53%
|
91 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 1968 |
PAR
0 - 4
BRA
23%
24%
53%
|
91 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 1968 |
PER
0 - 4
BRA
25%
24%
51%
|
91 | 74 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 1968 |
PER
3 - 4
BRA
25%
24%
51%
|
90 | 74 | 16 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 1968 |
MEX
2 - 1
BRA
28%
24%
48%
|
91 | 79 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 1968 |
URU
2 - 1
ARG
43%
26%
31%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1968 |
ARG
2 - 0
URU
62%
21%
18%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1968 |
PAR
2 - 0
ARG
33%
26%
40%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1967 |
CHI
3 - 1
ARG
36%
26%
38%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 1967 |
PAR
1 - 1
ARG
33%
26%
41%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |