Brazil vs Argentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
22.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 1960 |
URU
1 - 0
BRA
29%
23%
48%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 1960 |
PAR
1 - 2
BRA
17%
20%
63%
|
90 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 1960 |
BRA
4 - 0
CHI
87%
9%
4%
|
89 | 70 | 19 | +1 |
| 29 May. 1960 |
ARG
1 - 4
BRA
54%
22%
25%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1960 |
ARG
4 - 2
BRA
51%
22%
27%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 1960 |
ARG
1 - 0
PAR
81%
12%
6%
|
90 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1960 |
ARG
1 - 4
BRA
54%
22%
25%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1960 |
ARG
4 - 2
BRA
51%
22%
27%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1960 |
ARG
0 - 1
BRA
55%
22%
23%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1960 |
MEX
0 - 2
ARG
38%
24%
39%
|
90 | 77 | 13 | 0 |