Brazil vs Argentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
32.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 1957 |
BRA
1 - 2
ARG
45%
23%
32%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1957 |
BRA
3 - 0
POR
80%
13%
8%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1957 |
BRA
2 - 1
POR
80%
12%
8%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1957 |
BRA
1 - 0
PER
78%
13%
9%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1957 |
PER
1 - 1
BRA
41%
22%
37%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 1957 |
BRA
1 - 2
ARG
45%
23%
32%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1957 |
ARG
1 - 1
URU
70%
17%
14%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1957 |
URU
0 - 0
ARG
30%
24%
47%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1957 |
PER
1 - 4
ARG
35%
23%
42%
|
91 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1957 |
PER
2 - 1
ARG
38%
24%
39%
|
91 | 75 | 16 | 0 |