Brazil vs Argentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
31.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 1957 |
BRA
3 - 0
POR
80%
13%
8%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1957 |
BRA
2 - 1
POR
80%
12%
8%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1957 |
BRA
1 - 0
PER
78%
13%
9%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1957 |
PER
1 - 1
BRA
41%
22%
37%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1957 |
ARG
3 - 0
BRA
72%
16%
12%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 1957 |
ARG
1 - 1
URU
70%
17%
14%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1957 |
URU
0 - 0
ARG
30%
24%
47%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1957 |
PER
1 - 4
ARG
35%
23%
42%
|
90 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1957 |
PER
2 - 1
ARG
38%
24%
39%
|
90 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1957 |
ARG
3 - 0
BRA
72%
16%
12%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |