Brazil vs Argentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
22.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1956 |
BRA
2 - 1
PER
84%
10%
6%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1956 |
BRA
0 - 0
PAR
86%
9%
5%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1956 |
CHI
4 - 1
BRA
44%
22%
34%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1955 |
BRA
3 - 3
PAR
78%
13%
9%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1955 |
BRA
3 - 0
PAR
78%
13%
10%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1956 |
ARG
1 - 0
PAR
87%
9%
5%
|
90 | 71 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1956 |
ARG
2 - 0
CHI
88%
8%
4%
|
90 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1956 |
ARG
2 - 1
PER
86%
9%
5%
|
90 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1955 |
ARG
1 - 0
CHI
88%
8%
4%
|
90 | 71 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1955 |
ARG
6 - 1
URU
79%
12%
9%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |