Brazil vs Argentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.1%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
30%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1922 |
BRA
0 - 0
URU
45%
23%
33%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1922 |
BRA
1 - 1
PAR
60%
20%
20%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1922 |
BRA
1 - 1
CHI
72%
16%
12%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1921 |
URU
2 - 1
BRA
65%
19%
17%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1921 |
PAR
0 - 3
BRA
56%
21%
23%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1922 |
URU
1 - 0
ARG
55%
21%
24%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1922 |
ARG
4 - 0
CHI
71%
17%
12%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 1922 |
ARG
3 - 3
PAR
63%
20%
17%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 1922 |
URU
2 - 2
ARG
57%
21%
22%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1922 |
ARG
1 - 3
URU
54%
22%
24%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |