Brazil vs Algeria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.7%
Win probability
3.19
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
2%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.4%
5-0
6.6%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.7%
4-0
10.3%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.4%
3-0
13%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.6%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
8.7%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
8.7%
3.5%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 1986 |
ESP
0 - 1
BRA
45%
25%
30%
|
94 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1986 |
BRA
1 - 1
CHI
81%
14%
5%
|
94 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1986 |
BRA
4 - 2
YUG
70%
19%
11%
|
94 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1986 |
BRA
3 - 0
FIN
84%
12%
4%
|
94 | 61 | 33 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1986 |
BRA
3 - 0
DDR
69%
19%
11%
|
93 | 89 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Algeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 1986 |
ALG
1 - 1
NIR
53%
26%
21%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1986 |
SUI
2 - 0
ALG
60%
22%
18%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1986 |
CMR
3 - 2
ALG
61%
22%
18%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 1986 |
ALG
0 - 0
ZAM
64%
21%
16%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1986 |
ALG
0 - 0
MAR
59%
23%
18%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |