Brazil vs Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
28.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2014 |
BRA
2 - 1
COL
77%
16%
8%
|
97 | 92 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2014 |
BRA
1 - 1
CHI
77%
15%
8%
|
97 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2014 |
CMR
1 - 4
BRA
4%
10%
86%
|
97 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2014 |
BRA
0 - 0
MEX
78%
15%
8%
|
97 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2014 |
BRA
3 - 1
CRO
75%
16%
9%
|
97 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2014 |
FRA
0 - 1
GER
24%
21%
55%
|
95 | 94 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2014 |
GER
2 - 1
ALG
92%
6%
2%
|
95 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2014 |
USA
0 - 1
GER
14%
17%
69%
|
95 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2014 |
GER
2 - 2
GHA
90%
8%
2%
|
95 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2014 |
GER
4 - 0
POR
61%
20%
19%
|
95 | 93 | 2 | 0 |