Brazil vs Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
91.9%
Win probability
3.41
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.4%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.1%
+8
1.2%
7-0
2.4%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.8%
6-0
5%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.9%
5-0
8.8%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.2%
+5
10.8%
4-0
12.8%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
16.5%
3-0
15.1%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.5%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.8%
6.2%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
2.9%
2-2
0.9%
3-3
0.1%
4-4
<0%
0
6.2%
1.8%
Win probability
0.37
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
0.5%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
1.5%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1992 |
BRA
1 - 2
URU
74%
18%
8%
|
96 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1992 |
BRA
4 - 2
CRC
80%
15%
5%
|
96 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1992 |
FRA
0 - 2
BRA
40%
28%
32%
|
96 | 93 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 1992 |
USA
0 - 1
BRA
16%
26%
58%
|
95 | 78 | 17 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 1992 |
MEX
0 - 5
BRA
33%
29%
38%
|
95 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 1992 |
GER
0 - 0
AUT
58%
21%
21%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1992 |
GER
1 - 1
MEX
47%
25%
28%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1992 |
DEN
1 - 2
GER
80%
13%
7%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 1992 |
DEN
2 - 0
GER
69%
19%
12%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1992 |
SWE
2 - 3
GER
70%
19%
11%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |