Brazil vs West Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.3%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.6%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.8%
10.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 1965 |
BRA
5 - 0
BEL
83%
11%
6%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1964 |
CSK
1 - 0
BRA
60%
19%
22%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1964 |
BRA
4 - 0
KOR
88%
8%
4%
|
89 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1964 |
BRA
1 - 1
EGY
87%
8%
5%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1964 |
BRA
4 - 1
POR
87%
9%
4%
|
89 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
West Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 1965 |
SUI
0 - 1
BRD
36%
23%
41%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1965 |
BRD
0 - 1
ENG
37%
22%
41%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1965 |
BRD
5 - 0
CYP
69%
17%
14%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1964 |
BRD
1 - 1
SWE
49%
22%
29%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 1964 |
BRD
3 - 4
CSK
57%
21%
22%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | -1 |