Brazil vs Honduras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
92.8%
Win probability
3.62
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1.3%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.6%
7-0
2.9%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
<0%
+7
3.5%
6-0
5.7%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
6.9%
5-0
9.4%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
11.8%
4-0
13%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
17.1%
3-0
14.3%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20.2%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.4%
5.4%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
2.6%
2-2
0.9%
3-3
0.1%
4-4
<0%
0
5.4%
1.6%
Win probability
0.39
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
0.5%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
1.3%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2003 |
MEX
1 - 0
BRA
8%
15%
77%
|
99 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2003 |
BRA
2 - 2
TUR
94%
5%
1%
|
99 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2003 |
BRA
1 - 0
USA
89%
8%
3%
|
99 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2003 |
BRA
0 - 1
CMR
95%
4%
1%
|
99 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2003 |
NGA
0 - 3
BRA
15%
21%
65%
|
99 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Honduras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2003 |
HND
1 - 1
SLV
69%
20%
11%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2003 |
GTM
1 - 2
HND
31%
25%
45%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2003 |
HND
1 - 2
CHI
43%
26%
31%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2003 |
VEN
2 - 1
HND
31%
24%
46%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2003 |
COL
0 - 0
HND
58%
23%
19%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | 0 |