Brazil vs Haiti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.3%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
6.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
<0%
+5
7.5%
4-0
12%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
13.8%
3-0
17.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.2%
+3
20.5%
2-0
18.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.4%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
18.7%
8.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
3.4%
2-2
0.6%
3-3
<0%
0
8.8%
1.9%
Win probability
0.25
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
0.4%
2-3
0%
-1
1.7%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
BRA
0 - 0
ECU
76%
16%
8%
|
97 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2016 |
PAN
0 - 2
BRA
6%
14%
80%
|
97 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2016 |
PAR
2 - 2
BRA
9%
16%
75%
|
97 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
BRA
2 - 2
URU
71%
18%
11%
|
97 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2015 |
BRA
3 - 0
PER
82%
13%
5%
|
97 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Haiti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
HTI
0 - 1
PER
17%
24%
59%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
COL
3 - 1
HTI
82%
14%
4%
|
71 | 92 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2016 |
PAN
1 - 0
HTI
58%
24%
18%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
HTI
0 - 0
PAN
26%
28%
46%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2016 |
TTO
0 - 1
HTI
56%
23%
22%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +1 |