Bosnia vs Poland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.1%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
62.6%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
11%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bosnia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2007 |
TUR
1 - 0
BIH
85%
11%
4%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2007 |
BIH
0 - 2
NOR
17%
22%
60%
|
78 | 91 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
GRC
3 - 2
BIH
83%
12%
5%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2007 |
BIH
0 - 1
MDA
74%
16%
10%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
HUN
1 - 0
BIH
74%
16%
10%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2007 |
SRB
2 - 2
POL
18%
25%
58%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
POL
2 - 0
BEL
50%
25%
25%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2007 |
POL
0 - 1
HUN
64%
21%
16%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
POL
3 - 1
KAZ
91%
7%
2%
|
90 | 67 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2007 |
FIN
0 - 0
POL
28%
25%
47%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | -1 |