Bosnia vs Luxembourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.4%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.8%
4-0
10.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
+4
12.7%
3-0
15.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.5%
2-0
16.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
12%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.6%
10.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.1%
0
10.3%
3.2%
Win probability
0.38
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bosnia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2003 |
WAL
2 - 2
BIH
75%
17%
8%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2002 |
NOR
2 - 0
BIH
90%
8%
2%
|
76 | 92 | 16 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2002 |
BIH
1 - 1
GER
8%
19%
74%
|
75 | 96 | 21 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2002 |
BIH
0 - 3
ROU
11%
20%
69%
|
75 | 93 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2002 |
BIH
0 - 2
YUG
9%
19%
72%
|
76 | 95 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Luxembourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2002 |
LUX
0 - 0
CPV
34%
25%
42%
|
38 | 62 | 24 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2002 |
LUX
0 - 7
ROU
15%
20%
65%
|
38 | 93 | 55 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
DEN
2 - 0
LUX
85%
12%
3%
|
38 | 94 | 56 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2002 |
LUX
0 - 5
ISR
12%
23%
64%
|
38 | 86 | 48 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2002 |
LUX
0 - 2
MAR
15%
24%
61%
|
39 | 88 | 49 | -1 |