Bosnia vs Lithuania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
21.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bosnia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1999 |
HUN
1 - 1
BIH
84%
11%
5%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1999 |
MLT
2 - 1
BIH
20%
23%
57%
|
73 | 52 | 21 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 1998 |
LTU
4 - 2
BIH
47%
26%
27%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1998 |
BIH
1 - 3
CZE
27%
27%
47%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 1998 |
BIH
1 - 1
EST
81%
13%
6%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Lithuania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1999 |
LTU
1 - 2
EST
76%
16%
8%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1999 |
CZE
2 - 0
LTU
88%
9%
3%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1998 |
LTU
4 - 2
BIH
47%
26%
27%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 1998 |
LTU
0 - 0
FRO
77%
16%
7%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1998 |
LTU
0 - 0
SCO
16%
25%
59%
|
73 | 90 | 17 | 0 |