Bosnia vs Spain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.9%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.2%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.2%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.8%
69.3%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
14.3%
1-3
6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bosnia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
EST
0 - 2
BIH
27%
27%
46%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2009 |
BIH
1 - 1
TUR
28%
27%
46%
|
81 | 92 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
ARM
0 - 2
BIH
29%
27%
44%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2009 |
BIH
2 - 3
IRN
30%
27%
43%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2009 |
BIH
2 - 1
OMA
43%
26%
31%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
ARM
1 - 2
ESP
8%
19%
73%
|
100 | 70 | 30 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2009 |
ESP
3 - 0
EST
81%
15%
5%
|
100 | 69 | 31 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
ESP
5 - 0
BEL
74%
18%
8%
|
100 | 89 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2009 |
MKD
2 - 3
ESP
10%
20%
70%
|
100 | 80 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2009 |
ESP
3 - 2
RSA
92%
7%
1%
|
100 | 83 | 17 | 0 |