Bosnia vs Scotland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.9%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.8%
57.3%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bosnia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 1999 |
LIE
0 - 0
BIH
10%
18%
73%
|
73 | 10 | 63 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1999 |
FRO
2 - 2
BIH
28%
25%
47%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 1999 |
BIH
2 - 0
LTU
58%
21%
21%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 1999 |
HUN
1 - 1
BIH
84%
11%
5%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 1999 |
MLT
2 - 1
BIH
20%
23%
57%
|
73 | 52 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Scotland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 1999 |
CZE
3 - 2
SCO
54%
23%
23%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1999 |
FRO
1 - 1
SCO
13%
23%
64%
|
90 | 58 | 32 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1999 |
GER
0 - 1
SCO
71%
18%
11%
|
90 | 95 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1999 |
SCO
1 - 2
CZE
59%
23%
18%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1998 |
SCO
2 - 1
FRO
87%
10%
3%
|
90 | 57 | 33 | 0 |