Bosnia vs Denmark analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.7%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.3%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.9%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
66.9%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
15.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.6%
0-2
14.6%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.7%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bosnia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2003 |
LUX
0 - 1
BIH
10%
18%
72%
|
78 | 38 | 40 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2003 |
BIH
1 - 0
NOR
15%
23%
62%
|
77 | 92 | 15 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2003 |
ROU
2 - 0
BIH
90%
8%
3%
|
77 | 92 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2003 |
DEN
0 - 2
BIH
92%
6%
2%
|
76 | 95 | 19 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2003 |
BIH
2 - 0
LUX
86%
10%
3%
|
76 | 39 | 37 | 0 |
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2003 |
DEN
2 - 2
ROU
55%
23%
22%
|
95 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2003 |
DEN
1 - 1
FIN
79%
15%
6%
|
95 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2003 |
LUX
0 - 2
DEN
17%
23%
60%
|
95 | 38 | 57 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2003 |
DEN
1 - 0
NOR
57%
23%
20%
|
94 | 92 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2003 |
DEN
1 - 0
UKR
87%
10%
3%
|
94 | 85 | 9 | 0 |