Bonaire vs US Virgin Islands analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.8%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.6%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.6%
6.6%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+80%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bonaire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
VIR
0 - 2
BES
10%
14%
76%
|
38 | 9 | 29 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2022 |
BES
2 - 2
SXM
79%
13%
8%
|
38 | 6 | 32 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2022 |
TCA
1 - 4
BES
26%
20%
54%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
BES
1 - 1
BHS
30%
22%
49%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
VGB
3 - 4
BES
11%
16%
74%
|
37 | 11 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
US Virgin Islands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
VIR
0 - 2
BES
10%
14%
76%
|
9 | 38 | 29 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2022 |
VIR
3 - 2
TCA
6%
10%
84%
|
6 | 24 | 18 | +3 |
| 03 Jun. 2022 |
SXM
1 - 1
VIR
39%
22%
39%
|
6 | 6 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
VIR
0 - 7
SLV
4%
10%
86%
|
6 | 71 | 65 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2021 |
MSR
4 - 0
VIR
81%
12%
7%
|
6 | 31 | 25 | 0 |