Bolivia vs Venezuela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
32.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolivia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
ECU
2 - 0
BOL
70%
18%
12%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2015 |
BOL
0 - 2
URU
21%
24%
55%
|
81 | 91 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
ARG
7 - 0
BOL
85%
11%
4%
|
81 | 95 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2015 |
BOL
1 - 3
PER
37%
25%
39%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 2015 |
CHI
5 - 0
BOL
76%
15%
9%
|
82 | 91 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Venezuela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2015 |
BRA
3 - 1
VEN
83%
12%
4%
|
83 | 97 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2015 |
VEN
0 - 1
PAR
41%
26%
33%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2015 |
VEN
1 - 1
PAN
52%
24%
24%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2015 |
VEN
0 - 3
HND
58%
23%
20%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2015 |
BRA
2 - 1
VEN
86%
11%
3%
|
84 | 97 | 13 | 0 |