Bolivia vs Venezuela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.7%
20.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolivia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1977 |
VEN
1 - 3
BOL
58%
20%
22%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1977 |
BOL
1 - 0
URU
30%
24%
46%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 1977 |
BOL
2 - 2
PAR
36%
25%
40%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1977 |
BOL
0 - 1
PAR
37%
24%
39%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1975 |
CHI
4 - 0
BOL
76%
14%
10%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Venezuela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1977 |
VEN
1 - 3
BOL
58%
20%
22%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1977 |
VEN
1 - 1
URU
29%
24%
47%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 1977 |
VEN
1 - 0
ECU
67%
17%
16%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1975 |
BRA
6 - 0
VEN
80%
12%
8%
|
63 | 92 | 29 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1975 |
ARG
11 - 0
VEN
80%
12%
8%
|
64 | 87 | 23 | -1 |