Bolivia vs Uruguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
8%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
48.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolivia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2004 |
BOL
1 - 0
PER
45%
27%
28%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2004 |
BRA
3 - 1
BOL
85%
11%
4%
|
82 | 99 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2004 |
VEN
1 - 1
BOL
37%
24%
39%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2004 |
COL
1 - 0
BOL
73%
17%
10%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2004 |
PER
2 - 2
BOL
58%
21%
21%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2004 |
ARG
4 - 2
URU
66%
20%
13%
|
91 | 98 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2004 |
URU
1 - 0
ECU
63%
23%
15%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2004 |
COL
1 - 2
URU
42%
24%
34%
|
91 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2004 |
BRA
1 - 1
URU
87%
9%
4%
|
90 | 99 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2004 |
PAR
1 - 3
URU
45%
23%
32%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |