Bolivia vs Uruguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
45.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolivia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 1977 |
BOL
2 - 2
PAR
36%
25%
40%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1977 |
BOL
0 - 1
PAR
37%
24%
39%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1975 |
CHI
4 - 0
BOL
76%
14%
10%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 1975 |
PER
3 - 1
BOL
69%
17%
14%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 1975 |
BOL
0 - 1
PER
57%
21%
22%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 1977 |
VEN
1 - 1
URU
29%
24%
47%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1977 |
URU
3 - 0
CHI
52%
23%
24%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 1977 |
URU
2 - 1
PAR
52%
23%
25%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1977 |
PAR
1 - 1
URU
51%
24%
25%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1977 |
URU
1 - 1
ECU
78%
14%
8%
|
80 | 57 | 23 | 0 |