Bolivia vs Uruguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.8%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.3%
55.2%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolivia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1949 |
BRA
10 - 1
BOL
86%
9%
5%
|
56 | 82 | 26 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1949 |
BOL
3 - 2
CHI
36%
22%
42%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 1948 |
BOL
2 - 2
VEN
42%
23%
36%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1947 |
CHI
4 - 3
BOL
78%
13%
10%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1947 |
BOL
0 - 2
PER
32%
22%
45%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1949 |
URU
3 - 2
ECU
82%
11%
7%
|
80 | 51 | 29 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1948 |
URU
4 - 2
BRA
47%
22%
32%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1948 |
URU
1 - 1
BRA
47%
21%
32%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 1947 |
ARG
3 - 1
URU
70%
16%
14%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 1947 |
URU
1 - 0
PER
62%
19%
19%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |