Bolivia vs Poland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
59.5%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolivia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1977 |
URU
2 - 2
BOL
68%
19%
13%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1977 |
BOL
2 - 0
VEN
61%
19%
20%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 1977 |
VEN
1 - 3
BOL
58%
20%
22%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 1977 |
BOL
1 - 0
URU
30%
24%
46%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 1977 |
BOL
2 - 2
PAR
36%
25%
40%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 1977 |
PER
1 - 3
POL
35%
27%
38%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1977 |
ARG
3 - 1
POL
61%
22%
17%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 May. 1977 |
CYP
1 - 3
POL
24%
24%
52%
|
87 | 57 | 30 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1977 |
DEN
1 - 2
POL
35%
27%
38%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 1977 |
IRL
0 - 0
POL
33%
27%
40%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |