Bolivia vs Peru analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
22.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolivia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 1975 |
BOL
2 - 1
CHI
49%
24%
28%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 1975 |
BOL
1 - 0
ECU
66%
18%
15%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 1975 |
BOL
1 - 2
PAR
30%
23%
47%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 1975 |
BOL
1 - 2
ARG
20%
24%
56%
|
64 | 87 | 23 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1973 |
PAR
4 - 0
BOL
67%
19%
15%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Peru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 1975 |
CHI
1 - 1
PER
70%
16%
13%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 1975 |
PER
2 - 0
PAR
37%
24%
39%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | +2 |
| 01 Jul. 1975 |
PER
2 - 0
ECU
71%
17%
13%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 1975 |
ECU
1 - 0
PER
42%
24%
35%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 1975 |
ECU
6 - 0
PER
37%
24%
39%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | -1 |