Bolivia vs Paraguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
41.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolivia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2004 |
BOL
0 - 2
CHI
35%
27%
38%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2003 |
VEN
2 - 1
BOL
44%
25%
30%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2003 |
ARG
3 - 0
BOL
80%
14%
6%
|
83 | 99 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
BOL
1 - 0
HND
36%
25%
40%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2003 |
BOL
4 - 0
COL
29%
28%
43%
|
82 | 91 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2004 |
KOR
0 - 0
PAR
47%
26%
27%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2004 |
PAR
0 - 0
BRA
20%
24%
56%
|
90 | 99 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2003 |
CHI
0 - 1
PAR
48%
25%
27%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2003 |
PAR
2 - 1
ECU
63%
23%
15%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2003 |
PAR
4 - 1
URU
43%
26%
32%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |