Bolivia vs Paraguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.5%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.9%
41.6%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolivia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 1965 |
ARG
4 - 1
BOL
76%
15%
9%
|
67 | 89 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 1965 |
PAR
2 - 0
BOL
63%
18%
19%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1963 |
BOL
5 - 4
BRA
38%
23%
39%
|
65 | 90 | 25 | +2 |
| 28 Mar. 1963 |
BOL
3 - 2
ARG
45%
23%
32%
|
64 | 89 | 25 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 1963 |
BOL
2 - 0
PAR
56%
20%
25%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 1965 |
PAR
0 - 0
ARG
30%
25%
45%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 1965 |
ARG
3 - 0
PAR
75%
15%
10%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 1965 |
PAR
2 - 0
BOL
63%
18%
19%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1965 |
URU
4 - 0
PAR
58%
21%
21%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 1965 |
PAR
2 - 1
URU
45%
22%
33%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | +1 |