Bolivia vs Ecuador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
24.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolivia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 1996 |
BOL
0 - 0
PAR
34%
28%
39%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1996 |
BOL
2 - 2
COL
32%
31%
37%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1996 |
URU
1 - 0
BOL
67%
21%
12%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1996 |
BOL
0 - 0
PER
60%
22%
19%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 1996 |
PAR
2 - 0
BOL
57%
25%
18%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1996 |
PAR
1 - 0
ECU
58%
25%
17%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1996 |
ECU
1 - 0
MEX
30%
28%
42%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1996 |
ECU
0 - 1
COL
35%
31%
34%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1996 |
ECU
2 - 1
JAM
67%
19%
14%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1996 |
ECU
1 - 0
VEN
83%
12%
6%
|
82 | 59 | 23 | 0 |