Bolivia vs Ecuador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.8%
Win probability
3.23
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.3%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.3%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.6%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.5%
7.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolivia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 1963 |
PAR
5 - 1
BOL
62%
18%
20%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1963 |
PAR
3 - 0
BOL
60%
18%
21%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 1962 |
BOL
3 - 2
PAR
48%
20%
32%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 1962 |
BOL
3 - 1
PAR
47%
20%
33%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 1959 |
PER
0 - 0
BOL
86%
9%
6%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 1959 |
ECU
1 - 2
BRA
25%
22%
52%
|
49 | 89 | 40 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1959 |
ECU
3 - 1
PAR
40%
24%
37%
|
48 | 74 | 26 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 1959 |
BRA
3 - 1
ECU
89%
7%
4%
|
48 | 89 | 41 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1959 |
ARG
1 - 1
ECU
85%
10%
6%
|
47 | 89 | 42 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 1959 |
URU
4 - 0
ECU
86%
9%
5%
|
47 | 82 | 35 | 0 |