Bolivia vs Ecuador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.2%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
15.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolivia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 1945 |
BRA
2 - 0
BOL
79%
12%
9%
|
62 | 80 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1945 |
CHI
5 - 0
BOL
60%
19%
21%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -2 |
| 18 Jan. 1945 |
ARG
4 - 0
BOL
79%
13%
8%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1938 |
BOL
2 - 1
ECU
51%
21%
28%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 1938 |
BOL
2 - 1
COL
44%
22%
34%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 1945 |
ARG
4 - 2
ECU
81%
12%
7%
|
54 | 88 | 34 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1945 |
URU
5 - 1
ECU
78%
14%
9%
|
55 | 80 | 25 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 1945 |
CHI
6 - 3
ECU
70%
16%
14%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 1942 |
CHI
2 - 1
ECU
68%
17%
16%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1942 |
BRA
5 - 1
ECU
79%
12%
8%
|
57 | 77 | 20 | -1 |