Bolivia vs Colombia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.7%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
44.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolivia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2011 |
URU
4 - 2
BOL
78%
15%
7%
|
81 | 92 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2011 |
BOL
0 - 0
PER
41%
27%
33%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
PER
2 - 2
BOL
59%
23%
18%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2011 |
BOL
1 - 3
PAN
55%
24%
22%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2011 |
COL
2 - 0
BOL
75%
17%
8%
|
82 | 91 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2011 |
JAM
0 - 2
COL
25%
29%
45%
|
91 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
HND
0 - 2
COL
37%
29%
35%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2011 |
COL
0 - 2
PER
68%
20%
12%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 2011 |
COL
2 - 0
BOL
75%
17%
8%
|
91 | 82 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2011 |
ARG
0 - 0
COL
75%
16%
9%
|
92 | 97 | 5 | -1 |